Odds Of 49ers Winning Division
Posted By admin On 02/04/22This past offseason, the NFC South was the epicenter of the quarterback shuffle. The Carolina Panthers parted ways with former MVP Cam Newton, starting a new era under the leadership of Teddy Bridgewater. Saints quarterback Drew Brees announced his return for his 20th NFL season; and the Tampa Bay Buccaneers signed a free agent you may have heard of at quarterback. The high-flying NFC South is flying higher than ever in 2020 and everyone wants a piece of the pie.
Before diving in and throwing all your money on the Buccaneers to win the NFC South, be sure to shop around. Just because BetMGM offers Tampa Bay at +140 to win the division doesn’t mean other outlets like DraftKings and FoxBet will. Consider your options – a minute or two of extra looking around could pay out big in the end.
NFC South odds
- The probability that the Giants will win the NFC East is 45 percent, or 11-9 odds, pretty close to even money. The Giants are the favorites to win the NFC East.
- However, the 49ers have the better quarterback and the odds are much more favorable, so we’re going with San Francisco at those juicy +350 odds to win the NFC West this season. Time is running out to get your bets in before the NFL season starts, so be sure to check out our other NFL preview articles and head over to our top online.
2019 NFC South results
In 2019, the NFC South was the Saints’ to lose coming off a 13-3 season. New Orleans was setting its sights on the Super Bowl. Enter the Minnesota Vikings, who knocked the Saints out of the playoffs in dramatic fashion, a la Groundhog Day. It was certainly a disappointing way to end the season for a team that was situated in the top 5 in Super Bowl LIV betting from the preseason on. The numbers were still great for NOLA, who finished the season 11-6 ATS (third). They had a quarterback with a 27-4 touchdown-to-interception ratio despite missing four games, and a defense that finished in the top third in the NFL. Their only losses on the season came in an early-season game at the Rams in which Drew Brees was injured, a rough game against Atlanta midseason, and a wild shootout with the NFC champion San Francisco 49ers. Though the sting of the Wild Card exit will last in many’s minds, the Saints put together a solid 2019 and should be optimistic about 2020.
Dallas’ NFC East odds improved from +6375 to +1200 with the win over the 49ers, still the worst odds in the division. Washington’s odds actually got a little better after losing to Seattle December 14 The Washington Football Team is favored to win the NFC East for the first time this season. The 49ers odds of winning the division from here are set at +1500, which carries an implied chance of just 6.25%. This is in stark contrast to the odds they were given on the eve of the season. Despite adding Brady to the division, the Saints (-130) are favorites in the NFC South and fifth in odds to win Super Bowl LV (+1100) at most sportsbooks. Brees is back for his 20th season (15th with the Saints) and New Orleans is out to put the playoff nightmares to rest.
The Falcons were looking like the worst team in the NFL through nine weeks in 2019, starting an abysmal 1-8. Their defense looked like Swiss cheese against Houston (53 points allowed) and the Rams (37 points allowed) and they were beaten by the Cardinals (who, up until that point had only beaten Cincinnati). The bye week did Atlanta wonders, though, turning them around for a 6-2 finish that included wins over the Saints and 49ers (accounting for a total 33% of both of those team’s total losses). The Falcons rushed for over 100 yards in each of their final four games and finished the season 7-9, just 1.5 games below their expected win total.
Jameis Winston had one of the best and worst statistical seasons in NFL history at the same time last year for the Buccaneers. Winston threw for an insane 5,100 yards on a lucrative 626 attempts and 33 touchdowns, but also managed 30 interceptions thrown (the most in the NFL since 1988). His season even poetically ended by throwing a pick-six on his last pass attempt. Winston was let go after the season. The buried story was the Buccaneers’ pass rush, which led the league in quarterback knockdowns and ranked seventh in sacks. The inability to create turnovers in the secondary was an issue, and the Bucs finished just 29th in total defense. They saw the emergence of superstar Chris Godwin and the 7-9 Bucs finished a half game above their expected win total (6.5).
Cam Newton played in just two games for the Panthers in 2019 before being lost for the season with a foot injury. From then on, it was the Kyle Allen show, who came out of the gates blazing and tossed for 261 yards and four touchdowns against Arizona. Beyond that, the sophomore threw 13 touchdowns and 16 interceptions before being benched for rookie Will Grier in Week 15. Carolina finished a miserable 31st in scoring defense and gave up the fourth-most rushing yards in the NFL. Longtime coach Ron Rivera was let go after 12 games and the Panthers lost their final four under interim Perry Fewell. It wasn’t the year Carolina fans were hoping for and the Panthers finished three games below their expected win total (8). After a messy end to the Cam Newton saga, Carolina moved their sights to the future.
2020 NFC South outlook and predictions
Despite adding Brady to the division, the Saints (-130) are favorites in the NFC South and fifth in odds to win Super Bowl LV (+1100) at most sportsbooks. Brees is back for his 20th season (15th with the Saints) and New Orleans is out to put the playoff nightmares to rest. Running back Alvin Kamara is looking to rebound after being injured on and off in 2019. The Saints managed to re-sign one of their best offensive linemen, Andrus Peat, and they added safety Malcolm Jenkins. Another addition was deep-threat Emmanuel Sanders, who is expected to complement Michael Thomas. The story for 2020 will be the Saints being locked and reloaded for what could be their last chance at a Super Bowl.
The Falcons (+900 to win the division) have gone 7-9 twice since their famous Super Bowl meltdown against Brady and the Patriots, and seem to be heading toward another bummer of a season. Dan Quinn managed to save his job over the back half of 2019, but will be on the hot seat again in 2020 and now have to face Brady and a tsunami of 28-3 jokes twice a season. Atlanta sent Vic Beasley and Austin Hooper packing and traded for Ravens tight end Hayden Hurst. They also signed Todd Gurley in hopes of a resurgence in his home state, but otherwise stayed quiet during the offseason. Their draft class, thin as it is, was met with a resounding “meh” from analysts and most sportsbooks have marked the Falcons at 7.5 wins– right where they were last season.
The Buccaneers were in the headlines for a notable free agent added– maybe you’ve heard of him? Tom Brady made a splash in NFL free agency and dominated offseason coverage. The addition of Brady was so significant that the Buccaneers went from +6500 odds to win Super Bowl LIV (23rd) to +1400 odds to win Super Bowl LV (5th). Also added to the juggernaut offense is Rob Gronkowski, who left retirement to join his old quarterback and make a run at another Super Bowl. Bruce Arians’ system is the polar opposite from what we’ve seen Brady play in the past, but many project this could bring Brady back to near his 2007 numbers (4,800 yards, 50 touchdowns). The draft class was highlighted by Iowa offensive lineman Tristan Wirfs, who was graded as one of the best linemen available, as well as Vanderbilt standout back Ke’Shawn Vaughn and Minnesota standouts Antoine Winfield Jr. (safety) and Tyler Johnson (wide receiver). It’s no secret Tampa Bay is setting up for a massive swing at the fences in 2020, and it might just pay off; the Bucs have jumped to second on odds to win the NFC South (+150).
Sportsbooks were unimpressed by the signing of Teddy Bridgewater as the Panthers’ starting quarterback and breakout college coach Matt Rhule. Carolina double-dipped in the college ranks by bringing on LSU’s Joe Brady as offensive coordinator. The defense was exclusively addressed in the draft, with the Panthers using all seven picks on defensive players– excellent ones, too. They were praised for bringing in studs like Derrick Brown (Auburn), Yetur Gross-Matos (Penn State), and Jeremy Chinn (Southern Illinois). The offseason was not friendly to the new regime, as the lack of preseason and regular programs severely damaged Carolina’s ability to implement their new systems efficiently. Because of that, the Panthers sit a distant last in odds to take the NFC South at an ugly +2200. In fact, Carolina is looking better to land a top-3 pick and land their next franchise quarterback than compete for any titles.
The Buccaneers are this year’s hot team, as they command 38% of bets to win the NFC South – up massively from 2019 – and an NFC South-leading 46% of the handle. Following them is New Orleans, who leads the division in total bets (53%) and 39% of the handle. Atlanta falls third with 7% of all bets to win and 13% of the handle. The rear is brought up by Carolina, which sits second to last in the NFL in division handles (3%) and total bets (2%). It’s a two-man race at the top which should provide some of the most intriguing football this year.
Past NFC South division winners
| Year | Winner | Record |
|---|---|---|
| 2019 | New Orleans Saints | 13-3 |
| 2018 | New Orleans Saints | 13-3 |
| 2017 | New Orleans Saints | 11-5 |
| 2016 | Atlanta Falcons | 11-5 |
| 2015 | Carolina Panthers | 15-1 |
| 2014 | Carolina Panthers | 7-8-1 |
| 2013 | Carolina Panthers | 12-4 |
| 2012 | Atlanta Falcons | 13-3 |
| 2011 | New Orleans Saints | 13-3 |
| 2010 | Atlanta Falcons | 13-3 |
How to bet on NFL division winners
To reiterate advice given here, shop around before diving headlong into the first bet you see. Different outlets offer different odds and a minute or two of your time could result in some more money coming your way.
When reading an odds table, there’s several numbers of note. The first is the odds, which tells you who is favored (lower numbers are favored) and how much a successful bet would earn you. For example, a $100 bet on Atlanta (+800) would win you $800 with a total payout of $900. Next is the handle, which tells you what percentage of the total amount bet on the NFC South division winner each team commands. For example, the Bucs have 46% of the handle– meaning 46% of all money bet on the NFC South winner has gone to Tampa Bay. Last is the percentage of bets, which refers to the number of bets– not the amount– wagered on each team. The Saints have 53% of all bets, which doesn’t reflect how much was bet (the Saints have 39% of the handle, meaning smaller betting amounts are being placed on the Saints).
NFL division betting previews
| AFC | NFC |
|---|---|
| AFC East | NFC East |
| AFC North | NFC North |
| AFC South | NFC South |
| AFC West | NFC West |
The San Francisco 49ers limped to a 4-12 record last season, finishing third in the NFC West.
That wasn’t what they expected with QB Jimmy Garoppolo under center for the start of the season. The problem is he wasn’t there long before being lost for the year with a torn ACL. By all accounts, he should be OK for the start of the 2019 NFL season, giving 49ers’ faithful hope of a run toward Super Bowl LIV.
The team also get RB Jerick McKinnon (knee), a prized off-season addition from last year, who missed the whole season with a preseason injury.
In his three starts, Garoppolo threw for 718 yards, five touchdowns and three interceptions while hitting 59.6 percent of his passes on a rather pedestrian offense. During the offseason, the 49ers looked to keep upgrading. They added RB Tevin Coleman (Atlanta Falcons) via free agency and drafted WRs Deebo Samuel (second round) and Jalen Hurd (third) for more weapons. The team expects those youngsters to grow with Jimmy G while adding a nice blend to star TE George Kittle (1,377 yards, 5 TDs) and WRs Dante Pettis (467 yards, 5 TDs) and Marquise Goodwin (395 yards, 4 TDs in 11 games). This is an offense on the rise.
The 49ers didn’t stop there. Defensively, they welcome DE Dee Ford (Kansas City Chiefs) and LB Kwon Alexander (Tampa Bay Buccaneers) to the front seven. Ford had 13 sacks a year ago with the Chiefs and he’ll be an interesting pairing with 2019 first-round pick Nick Bosa.
Will an aggressive offseason of additions help the 49ers make it to the Super Bowl?
What are the San Francisco 49ers odds of winning the Super Bowl?
As of June 24, 2019, according to FanDuel Sportsbook, the 49ers are +3000 of winning the 2020 Super Bowl.
That’s 30/1 in terms of fractional odds, with oddsmakers giving them just a 31 percent likelihood.
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Their odds were also +3000 as of April 24, 2019.
Sports Betting 101: What does +3000 mean in sports betting?
For every $100 you wager on the San Francisco 49ers to win the Super Bowl, you’d receive $3,000.00 in winnings if the 49ers do, indeed, win Super Bowl LIV.
Your payout would be $3,100.00 (original bet, plus winnings).
What you need to know about the 2020 Super Bowl
A quick break down on everything you need to know about Super Bowl LIV in case the 49ers return to the promised land.
When and where is Super Bowl LIV?
When is Super Bowl LIV?
Super Bowl LIV will take place Sunday, February 2, 2020.
This year’s Super Bowl is the 54th Super Bowl and it is also the 50th modern-era NFL championship game.
Where is Super Bowl LIV?
Super Bowl LIV will take place at Hard Rock Stadium, which is the NFL home of the Miami Dolphins. The game will be played in Miami Gardens, Florida.
It is Miami’s 11th time hosting the Super Bowl, which broke a tie with New Orleans for the most hosted Super Bowls all-time.
Which network will broadcast Super Bowl LIV?
Odds Of 49ers Winning Division 2
The 2020 NFL Super Bowl will be broadcast by Fox.
Future Super Bowl locations